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Cavaliers vs. Pistons-40.5%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?33¢+1.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?19¢+1.6%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)100¢+49.5%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)100¢+51.5%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?+0.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?10¢+0.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?+0.5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?55¢+1.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?28¢+2.0%
Knicks vs. 76ers49¢-1.0%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres84¢+44.0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?-2.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?22¢-1.0%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend100¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?100¢
Lakers vs. Thunder-12.4%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Cavaliers vs. Pistons-40.5%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?33¢+1.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?19¢+1.6%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)100¢+49.5%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)100¢+51.5%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?+0.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?10¢+0.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?+0.5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?55¢+1.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?28¢+2.0%
Knicks vs. 76ers49¢-1.0%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres84¢+44.0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?-2.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?22¢-1.0%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend100¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?100¢
Back to Markets
Science

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

9.8%
Yes
90.3%
No
$2.0M
Total Volume
$1.7M
24h Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
05:36 AM07:36 AM09:36 AM11:36 AM01:36 PM03:36 PM05:36 PM07:36 PM09:36 PM11:36 PM01:36 AM03:36 AMNow0%25%50%75%100%

Hunch Brief

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Hunch Contrarian

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Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
8.8¢70,456
7.8¢74,703
6.8¢69,166
5.8¢49,706
4.8¢50,674
3.8¢53,803
2.7¢32,517
1.8¢29,494
PriceSize
10.8¢88,176
11.8¢77,148
12.8¢70,069
13.8¢67,801
14.8¢49,723
15.8¢47,797
16.8¢41,762
17.8¢30,902

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
NO9.6¢32404:36 AM
YES10.2¢21004:34 AM
NO10.2¢10904:32 AM
YES10.6¢25304:32 AM
NO8.1¢12004:31 AM
NO9.4¢11004:27 AM
YES8.9¢38804:23 AM
YES10.6¢18704:31 AM
NO8.8¢37204:21 AM
YES7.9¢33104:30 AM

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Market Details

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

StatusActive
End Date12/31/2026
Last Updated5/8/2026, 4:34:57 AM
View on Polymarket

Market Intelligence

Category

Science

Market Sentiment

Strongly bearish

Liquidity Depth

Deep

Sources

Sources are provided for research purposes. Hunch aggregates data from public prediction markets.

Discussion

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