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US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?34¢+2.0%
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?22¢-1.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?28¢+1.0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?-2.1%
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Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?+0.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?+0.0%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons33¢-8.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?21¢+3.3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?34¢+2.0%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)55¢+4.0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?+0.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?10¢+0.9%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)51¢+2.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?+0.3%
Lakers vs. Thunder13¢+0.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?54¢+0.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?22¢-1.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?28¢+1.0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?-2.1%
Knicks vs. 76ers50¢+0.0%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend100¢+0.0%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?100¢+0.0%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals100¢+0.0%
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Politics

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

0.1%
Yes
100.0%
No
$20.38M
Total Volume
$3.74M
24h Volume
$147K
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
11:03 PM11:14 PM11:24 PM11:39 PM11:55 PM12:02 AM12:10 AM12:22 AM12:29 AM12:36 AM12:46 AM12:54 AM01:06 AM0%25%50%75%100%

Hunch Brief

Hunch

Hunch Contrarian

Hunch

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
1.0¢9,278
1.0¢7,914
1.0¢9,230
1.0¢7,400
1.0¢6,686
1.0¢6,055
1.0¢5,530
1.0¢4,733
PriceSize
1.1¢9,948
2.1¢9,755
3.0¢7,546
4.0¢6,622
5.1¢6,338
6.0¢4,556
7.1¢5,571
8.1¢3,773

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
YES1.0¢10901:06 AM
NO1.0¢15301:04 AM
NO1.3¢54201:05 AM
NO1.0¢13701:02 AM
NO1.0¢43701:02 AM
YES1.0¢15612:56 AM
YES1.2¢11412:51 AM
NO1.0¢44312:49 AM
NO1.7¢46201:01 AM
YES1.5¢39012:54 AM

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Market Details

Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

StatusActive
End Date4/12/2026
Last Updated5/8/2026, 1:06:19 AM
View on Polymarket

Market Intelligence

Category

Politics

Market Sentiment

Strongly bearish

Liquidity Depth

Deep

Discussion

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