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US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?20¢+2.8%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?34¢+2.0%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)91¢+40.5%
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Spread: Thunder (-15.5)51¢+2.0%
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Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?+0.0%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons-38.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?+0.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?20¢+2.8%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?34¢+2.0%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)91¢+40.5%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?+0.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?10¢+0.9%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)51¢+2.0%
Lakers vs. Thunder13¢+0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?+0.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?21¢-2.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?54¢+0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?28¢+2.0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?-2.6%
Knicks vs. 76ers50¢+0.0%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend100¢+0.0%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?100¢+0.0%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins-45.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?+0.0%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?+0.0%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons-38.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?+0.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?20¢+2.8%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?34¢+2.0%
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)91¢+40.5%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?+0.1%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?10¢+0.9%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)51¢+2.0%
Lakers vs. Thunder13¢+0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?+0.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?21¢-2.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?54¢+0.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?28¢+2.0%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?-2.6%
Knicks vs. 76ers50¢+0.0%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend100¢+0.0%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?100¢+0.0%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins-45.5%
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Sports

Lakers vs. Thunder

12.5%
Yes
87.5%
No
$1.69M
Total Volume
$1.47M
24h Volume
$785K
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
11:28 PM11:44 PM11:57 PM12:05 AM12:14 AM12:24 AM12:31 AM12:38 AM12:48 AM12:56 AM01:06 AM01:14 AM01:36 AM0%25%50%75%100%

Hunch Brief

Hunch Contrarian

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
11.5¢51,029
10.5¢54,049
9.5¢36,744
8.5¢44,705
7.5¢33,389
6.5¢33,427
5.5¢25,250
4.5¢25,358
PriceSize
13.5¢46,552
14.5¢53,920
15.5¢41,211
16.5¢32,269
17.5¢34,878
18.5¢25,435
19.5¢28,194
20.5¢20,301

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
YES11.2¢30601:37 AM
YES10.9¢38301:35 AM
NO13.7¢12401:32 AM
YES11.3¢53501:35 AM
NO13.6¢36801:28 AM
NO11.4¢6601:33 AM
NO14.5¢35701:23 AM
YES12.3¢41701:29 AM
YES11.6¢48201:25 AM
NO10.9¢13201:18 AM

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Market Details

Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 7 at 12:00AM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

StatusActive
End Date5/7/2026
Last Updated5/8/2026, 1:36:48 AM
View on Polymarket

Market Intelligence

Category

Sports

Market Sentiment

Strongly bearish

Liquidity Depth

Deep

Discussion

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