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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?100¢+95.6%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?100¢+69.0%
Knicks vs. 76ers100¢+51.5%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢+34.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder100¢-13.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?99¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)81¢+2.5%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢+28.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-39.5%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?100¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?100¢+37.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers94¢+17.0%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?100¢+47.5%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-52.5%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?100¢+55.5%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans100¢-49.5%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)100¢+48.5%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)100¢+66.5%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-49.5%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders100¢-33.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?100¢+95.6%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?100¢+69.0%
Knicks vs. 76ers100¢+51.5%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢+34.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder100¢-13.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?99¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)81¢+2.5%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢+28.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-39.5%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?100¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?100¢+37.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers94¢+17.0%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?100¢+47.5%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-52.5%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?100¢+55.5%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans100¢-49.5%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)100¢+48.5%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)100¢+66.5%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-49.5%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders100¢-33.5%
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World

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

99.8%
Yes
0.2%
No
$13.2M
Total Volume
$88.9K
24h Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
03:38 AM05:38 AM07:38 AM09:38 AM11:38 AM01:38 PM03:38 PM05:38 PM07:38 PM09:38 PM11:38 PM01:38 AMNow0%25%50%75%100%

Overview

Click "Generate" to create an AI-powered overview of this market.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
98.8¢73,571
97.8¢69,295
96.8¢47,431
95.8¢63,031
94.8¢55,280
93.8¢33,572
92.8¢40,626
91.8¢24,948
PriceSize
99.0¢79,499
99.0¢61,328
99.0¢67,201
99.0¢56,990
99.0¢46,561
99.0¢47,313
99.0¢29,067
99.0¢30,620

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
No99.0¢34102:38 AM
Yes98.9¢47102:36 AM
Yes99.0¢53902:34 AM
No99.0¢21802:36 AM
No99.0¢11202:33 AM
Yes99.0¢17602:34 AM
Yes98.5¢43202:32 AM
Yes99.0¢41302:34 AM
No99.0¢18802:18 AM
Yes98.9¢6402:31 AM

Price Alerts

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Market Details

Description

This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

StatusActive
End Date10/31/2026
Last Updated5/9/2026, 12:08:20 PM

Market Intelligence

Category

World

Market Sentiment

Strongly bullish

Liquidity Depth

Deep

Discussion

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