Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Probability Over Time
View Heat MapOverview
This prediction market assesses the likelihood of Ivanka Trump securing the Republican presidential nomination in 2028.
The current "YES" probability for Ivanka Trump to win the 2028 Republican nomination stands at a very low 1.1%.
A significant endorsement from a prominent Republican figure, particularly her father, or a strong early showing in primary polling could notably increase her probability.
A lack of political engagement, a strong field of established Republican candidates, or a public rejection of a presidential run would likely keep her probability low.
The market will resolve based on official Republican Party sources confirming whether Ivanka Trump wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.
The market's 1.1% for Ivanka Trump is laughably low, not because she's a strong candidate, but because it misunderstands the unpredictable, personality-driven nature of modern Republican primaries. With her father's shadow and a ready-made donor network, a chaotic field could easily elevate an unexpected, non-traditional figure like her, especially if the party is looking for a fresh, yet familiar, face. This isn't about policy; it's about brand recognition and a potential vacuum.
AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Articles
5Yakima Herald-Republic
Opinion: ‘Trump 2028’ could be a vote for Ivanka, Eric or Don Jr. - Yakima Herald-Republic
21h ago
The Bulwark
The Second Coming? - by Jonathan V. Last
3w ago
Covers.com
2028 Republican Nominee Odds & Prediction Markets
3d ago
People.com
Who Will Run for President in 2028? Rumored Democratic and Republican Candidates
9w ago
Bergen Record
Who's running for president 2028; Kamala Harris, Newsom? Latest polls
14w ago
Order Book Depth
Recent Trades
Price Alerts
Get notified when this market moves more than your threshold.
Market Details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Trade on
Market Intelligence
Category
Politics
Market Sentiment
Strongly bearish
Liquidity Depth
Deep
Sources
Polymarket
Live prediction market data
Kalshi
Regulated prediction exchange
DraftKings
Sports & event betting
Google News
Related news coverage
X / Twitter
Public sentiment & chatter
Sources are provided for research purposes. Hunch aggregates data from public prediction markets.
Related Bets
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Discussion
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!