Press Alt+1 for screen-reader mode, Alt+0 to cancelAccessibility Screen-Reader Guide, Feedback, and Issue Reporting | New window Skip to main content
Skip to main content
Live
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?100¢+95.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?100¢+69.0%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)100¢+82.5%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?100¢+41.5%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?100¢+37.5%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢-63.5%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?98¢+16.9%
Thunder vs. Lakers100¢+17.5%
Knicks vs. 76ers100¢+50.5%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?100¢-25.4%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢+33.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder100¢-12.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?99¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢+28.5%
Will Trump visit China by May 15?100¢+1.0%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs100¢-22.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-40.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers100¢+23.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-39.5%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?100¢-39.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?100¢+95.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?100¢+69.0%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)100¢+82.5%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?100¢+41.5%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?100¢+37.5%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢-63.5%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?98¢+16.9%
Thunder vs. Lakers100¢+17.5%
Knicks vs. 76ers100¢+50.5%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?100¢-25.4%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢+33.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder100¢-12.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?99¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢+28.5%
Will Trump visit China by May 15?100¢+1.0%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs100¢-22.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-40.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers100¢+23.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-39.5%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?100¢-39.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?100¢+95.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?100¢+69.0%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)100¢+82.5%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?100¢+41.5%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?100¢+37.5%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢-63.5%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?98¢+16.9%
Thunder vs. Lakers100¢+17.5%
Knicks vs. 76ers100¢+50.5%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?100¢-25.4%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢+33.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder100¢-12.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?99¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢+28.5%
Will Trump visit China by May 15?100¢+1.0%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs100¢-22.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-40.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers100¢+23.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-39.5%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?100¢-39.5%
Back to Markets
Politics

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1.8%
Yes
98.2%
No
$8.1M
Total Volume
$56.2K
24h Volume
$0.23M
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
09:34 PM11:34 PM01:34 AM03:34 AM05:34 AM07:34 AM09:34 AM11:34 AM01:34 PM03:34 PM05:34 PM07:34 PMNow0%25%50%75%100%

Overview

Click "Generate" to create an AI-powered overview of this market.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
1.0¢12,999
1.0¢10,961
1.0¢10,780
1.0¢9,218
1.0¢8,262
1.0¢9,951
1.0¢8,474
1.0¢7,446
PriceSize
2.8¢13,043
3.8¢12,667
4.8¢13,281
5.8¢12,415
6.8¢11,448
7.8¢7,211
8.8¢6,397
9.8¢5,618

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
No2.5¢14008:34 PM
No3.4¢36408:32 PM
Yes1.0¢29908:32 PM
No2.5¢27608:32 PM
No1.0¢28808:31 PM
Yes1.6¢47308:25 PM
No2.7¢24108:26 PM
No2.8¢50408:29 PM
Yes1.0¢24208:17 PM
Yes3.0¢6808:17 PM

Price Alerts

Get notified when this market moves more than your threshold.

Threshold:±5%
Sign in to Subscribe

Market Details

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

StatusActive
End Date11/7/2028
Last Updated5/13/2026, 12:45:46 AM

Market Intelligence

Category

Politics

Market Sentiment

Strongly bearish

Liquidity Depth

Deep

Discussion

Discussion (0)

Join the discussion

Sign uporSign in

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!