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Back to Markets
Politics

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.3%
Yes
99.8%
No
$8.3M
Total Volume
$0.73M
24h Volume
$0.14M
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
09:34 PM11:34 PM01:34 AM03:34 AM05:34 AM07:34 AM09:34 AM11:34 AM01:34 PM03:34 PM05:34 PM07:34 PMNow0%25%50%75%100%

Overview

Click "Generate" to create an AI-powered overview of this market.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
1.0¢9,573
1.0¢8,097
1.0¢7,708
1.0¢5,560
1.0¢5,259
1.0¢5,470
1.0¢4,472
1.0¢4,005
PriceSize
1.3¢9,828
2.3¢6,869
3.3¢6,305
4.3¢6,894
5.3¢5,237
6.3¢4,731
7.3¢3,762
8.3¢3,470

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
Yes1.0¢37708:34 PM
Yes2.2¢27908:33 PM
Yes1.0¢16508:32 PM
Yes1.5¢19408:32 PM
No1.0¢53908:25 PM
Yes1.0¢15708:30 PM
Yes1.0¢33408:27 PM
No1.2¢6808:27 PM
Yes1.0¢39708:21 PM
No1.0¢21708:21 PM

Price Alerts

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Market Details

Description

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

StatusActive
End Date10/4/2026
Last Updated5/12/2026, 7:25:36 PM

Market Intelligence

Category

Politics

Market Sentiment

Strongly bearish

Liquidity Depth

Deep

Discussion

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