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Sports

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

0.1%
Team Liquid
100.0%
Team Vitality
$0.34M
Total Volume
$0.33M
24h Volume
$0.43M
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
10:43 PM10:51 PM10:56 PM11:01 PM11:03 PM11:06 PM11:09 PM11:12 PM11:14 PM11:14 PM11:17 PM0%25%50%75%100%

Overview

This prediction market forecasts the winner of the Valorant VCT EMEA Playoffs Upper Bracket Round 1 match between Team Liquid and Team Vitality, originally scheduled for May 7 at 2:00 PM ET.

The current YES probability of 0.1% indicates that traders overwhelmingly expect Team Liquid to lose this match against Team Vitality.

The probability for Team Liquid could increase if new information emerges suggesting Team Vitality has a significant roster issue or poor recent performance not yet priced in.

The probability for Team Liquid could decrease further if Team Vitality demonstrates strong form or if Team Liquid's key players are reported to be underperforming.

The market will resolve to 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, or if a team forfeits before the match starts.

Contrarian Take

The market's 0.1% probability for Team Liquid is an overcorrection, not a reflection of reality; Vitality's recent form, while strong, has shown cracks under pressure, and Liquid, despite their struggles, are known for their playoff resilience and ability to upset when counted out. The sheer volume on this market suggests emotional betting on Vitality's hot streak, ignoring the inherent volatility of a best-of-three in esports and Liquid's capacity to exploit overconfidence. Don't be surprised when Liquid, fueled by being written off, pulls off the upset.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
1.0¢24,618
1.0¢27,117
1.0¢21,474
1.0¢18,759
1.0¢14,948
1.0¢19,164
1.0¢13,911
1.0¢12,585
PriceSize
1.1¢24,086
2.1¢26,723
3.0¢21,572
4.0¢23,642
5.1¢16,543
6.0¢15,100
7.1¢15,192
8.1¢14,080

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
Team Vitality1.0¢39409:11 AM
Team Liquid1.0¢14209:09 AM
Team Vitality1.6¢10109:08 AM
Team Liquid1.0¢30009:07 AM
Team Liquid1.0¢26709:03 AM
Team Vitality1.0¢41309:07 AM
Team Liquid1.0¢16708:58 AM
Team Liquid1.0¢38509:00 AM
Team Liquid1.3¢14908:53 AM
Team Vitality1.0¢29509:01 AM

Price Alerts

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Market Details

Description

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Team Liquid and Team Vitality in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 7 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Vitality. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

StatusActive
End Date5/8/2026
Last Updated5/7/2026, 11:17:01 PM

Market Intelligence

Category

Sports

Market Sentiment

Strongly bearish

Liquidity Depth

Deep

Discussion

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