New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies
Probability Over Time
View Heat MapOverview
This prediction market forecasts the winner of the MLB game between the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies scheduled for May 5 at 8:40 PM ET.
With a current YES probability of 0.0%, the market indicates an overwhelming expectation that the New York Mets will not win the game, suggesting a strong belief in a Colorado Rockies victory.
A key factor that could push the probability of the Mets winning up would be a significant injury to a star Colorado Rockies player or an unexpected lineup change favoring the Mets.
Conversely, a key factor that could push the probability of the Mets winning down further would be a last-minute injury to a key Mets pitcher or hitter.
The market will resolve based on the official final statistics of the game, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie.
This 0.0% probability on the Mets is a classic overcorrection by a market obsessed with recent narratives. While the Rockies at home can be tricky, betting against the Mets entirely, especially with that kind of volume, ignores the inherent volatility of baseball and the potential for a single big inning to flip any game. The smart money isn't on the obvious underdog, it's on the market being too confident in a zero-sum outcome.
AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Articles
5MLB.com
New York Mets at Colorado Rockies Game Story, Scores/Highlights - 05/06/2026
6d ago
Purple Row
Wednesday Rockpile: Is the Platoon System Working for the Rockies?
6h ago
fathomjournal.org
Mets Vs Rockies | New York Mets Vs Colorado Rockies | Live Reaction | #mets #rockies #mlb (NIgJave4eP)
5h ago
Yahoo Sports
New York Mets 2 - Colorado Rockies 6: Final score, results, recap, box score, stats
5d ago
Bergen Record
Mets vs Rockies start time today, how to watch and our prediction
6d ago
Order Book Depth
Recent Trades
Price Alerts
Get notified when this market moves more than your threshold.
Market Details
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for May 5 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Trade on
Market Intelligence
Category
Sports
Market Sentiment
Strongly bearish
Liquidity Depth
Thin
Sources
Polymarket
Live prediction market data
Kalshi
Regulated prediction exchange
DraftKings
Sports & event betting
Google News
Related news coverage
X / Twitter
Public sentiment & chatter
Sources are provided for research purposes. Hunch aggregates data from public prediction markets.
Related Bets
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Thunder vs. Lakers
Knicks vs. 76ers
Discussion
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!