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Back to Markets
Sports

New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies

0.0%
New York Mets
100.0%
Colorado Rockies
$0.57M
Total Volume
$0.54M
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
10:13 PM10:18 PM10:28 PM10:40 PM10:43 PM10:50 PM11:01 PM11:06 PM11:12 PM11:14 PM11:19 PM11:27 PM11:34 PM11:44 PM0%25%50%75%100%

Overview

This prediction market forecasts the winner of the MLB game between the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies scheduled for May 5 at 8:40 PM ET.

With a current YES probability of 0.0%, the market indicates an overwhelming expectation that the New York Mets will not win the game, suggesting a strong belief in a Colorado Rockies victory.

A key factor that could push the probability of the Mets winning up would be a significant injury to a star Colorado Rockies player or an unexpected lineup change favoring the Mets.

Conversely, a key factor that could push the probability of the Mets winning down further would be a last-minute injury to a key Mets pitcher or hitter.

The market will resolve based on the official final statistics of the game, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie.

Contrarian Take

This 0.0% probability on the Mets is a classic overcorrection by a market obsessed with recent narratives. While the Rockies at home can be tricky, betting against the Mets entirely, especially with that kind of volume, ignores the inherent volatility of baseball and the potential for a single big inning to flip any game. The smart money isn't on the obvious underdog, it's on the market being too confident in a zero-sum outcome.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
1.0¢100
1.0¢100
1.0¢100
1.0¢100
1.0¢100
1.0¢100
1.0¢100
1.0¢100
PriceSize
1.0¢100
2.0¢100
3.0¢100
4.0¢100
5.0¢100
6.0¢100
7.0¢100
8.0¢100

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
New York Mets1.0¢20606:53 PM
New York Mets1.0¢21106:52 PM
New York Mets1.0¢10406:51 PM
New York Mets1.0¢17206:45 PM
New York Mets1.0¢6106:48 PM
Colorado Rockies1.0¢16906:49 PM
Colorado Rockies1.0¢47006:49 PM
Colorado Rockies1.0¢49406:37 PM
Colorado Rockies1.0¢18306:34 PM
New York Mets1.0¢33406:45 PM

Price Alerts

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Market Details

Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for May 5 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

StatusActive
End Date5/13/2026
Last Updated5/7/2026, 11:44:45 PM

Market Intelligence

Category

Sports

Market Sentiment

Strongly bearish

Liquidity Depth

Thin

Discussion

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