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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?100¢+69.0%
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UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)81¢+2.5%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢+28.5%
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Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?100¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?100¢+37.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers94¢+17.0%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?100¢+47.5%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-52.5%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?100¢+55.5%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans100¢-49.5%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)100¢+48.5%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)100¢+66.5%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-49.5%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders100¢-33.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?100¢+95.6%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?100¢+69.0%
Knicks vs. 76ers100¢+51.5%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢+34.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder100¢-13.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?99¢
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)81¢+2.5%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢+28.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-39.5%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?100¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?100¢+37.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers94¢+17.0%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?100¢+47.5%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-52.5%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?100¢+55.5%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans100¢-49.5%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)100¢+48.5%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)100¢+66.5%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-49.5%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders100¢-33.5%
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Finance

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

0.4%
Yes
99.7%
No
$5.2M
Total Volume
$0.19M
24h Volume
$1.0M
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
03:39 AM05:39 AM07:39 AM09:39 AM11:39 AM01:39 PM03:39 PM05:39 PM07:39 PM09:39 PM11:39 PM01:39 AMNow0%25%50%75%100%

Overview

Click "Generate" to create an AI-powered overview of this market.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
1.0¢55,428
1.0¢56,253
1.0¢55,295
1.0¢43,942
1.0¢47,573
1.0¢43,414
1.0¢30,516
1.0¢29,542
PriceSize
1.4¢53,883
2.4¢55,451
3.4¢50,104
4.4¢46,826
5.4¢39,706
6.3¢43,273
7.4¢26,934
8.3¢28,837

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
Yes1.0¢44902:39 AM
No1.0¢34502:37 AM
No1.9¢36702:34 AM
No1.0¢40302:35 AM
No1.1¢24102:31 AM
Yes1.0¢35002:35 AM
No1.0¢48702:25 AM
No1.7¢51802:21 AM
Yes1.0¢22202:21 AM
No2.3¢46502:16 AM

Price Alerts

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Market Details

Description

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

StatusActive
End Date6/17/2026
Last Updated5/10/2026, 2:37:26 AM

Market Intelligence

Category

Finance

Market Sentiment

Strongly bearish

Liquidity Depth

Deep

Discussion

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