Crypto

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?

0.1%

Yes

100.0%

$0.32M

Total Volume

$0.25M

24h Volume

$0.29M

Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map

Overview

This prediction market forecasts whether Bitcoin's price will exceed $84,000 on May 9, 2024, specifically at 12:00 PM ET according to Binance BTC/USDT close price.

The current YES probability of 0.1% indicates an extremely low market expectation that Bitcoin will reach $84,000 by the specified date and time.

A significant surge in institutional adoption or a major positive macroeconomic announcement could potentially drive Bitcoin's price higher, increasing the YES probability.

Heightened regulatory scrutiny or a broad market downturn, perhaps triggered by adverse inflation data, could significantly depress Bitcoin's price, further reducing the YES probability.

The market will resolve based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle's "Close" price at 12:00 PM ET on May 9, 2024.

Contrarian Take

Hunch readers, don't let that 0.1% YES probability fool you into complacency. While the odds are stacked against it, the market is completely missing the potential for a short squeeze fueled by massive liquidation cascades if Bitcoin even *starts* to approach $75k. This isn't about fundamentals; it's about market mechanics and the sheer volatility that can erupt when everyone is betting on the same outcome.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Articles

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6h ago

CoinDesk

Coinbase (COIN) bounces 10%, Solana, LINK, SUI outperform as bitcoin (BTC) holds $80K

1d ago

Barron's

Bitcoin Breaks Back Above $80,000. Why the Crypto Winter Is Not Over.

4d ago

24/7 Wall St.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin at $125K by December

1d ago

Crypto Briefing

Bitcoin holds above $80,000 amid SEC support and geopolitical tensions

1d ago

View all articles

Quotes

“I predict Bitcoin will reach $125,000 by December.”

Arthur Hayes

Co-founder of BitMEX

via 24/7 Wall St.

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity

PriceSize

1.0¢20,057

1.0¢18,076

1.0¢15,858

1.0¢12,599

1.0¢11,345

1.0¢10,866

1.0¢7,583

1.0¢6,655

PriceSize

1.1¢20,974

2.1¢14,487

3.0¢15,010

4.0¢16,104

5.1¢11,525

6.0¢8,990

7.1¢8,419

8.1¢8,718

Recent Trades

Simulated activity

SidePriceSizeTime

No1.0¢28602:40 AM

Yes2.0¢26502:38 AM

No1.0¢40502:36 AM

Yes1.0¢32402:34 AM

Yes1.0¢24702:35 AM

Yes1.0¢30702:33 AM

Yes1.0¢50502:30 AM

Yes1.0¢28702:27 AM

Yes1.0¢33702:36 AM

Yes1.0¢22002:25 AM

Price Alerts

Get notified when this market moves more than your threshold.

Threshold:±5%

Market Details

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

StatusActive

End Date5/9/2026

Last Updated5/9/2026, 11:28:42 PM

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