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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?100¢+96.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?100¢+69.0%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)100¢+82.5%
Knicks vs. 76ers100¢+51.5%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢+36.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder100¢-12.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?99¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢+28.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers100¢+23.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-39.5%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?100¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?100¢+37.5%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?100¢+47.5%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-52.5%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?100¢+55.5%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans100¢-49.5%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)100¢-59.5%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)100¢+48.5%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)100¢+51.5%
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)100¢-41.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?100¢+96.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?100¢+69.0%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)100¢+82.5%
Knicks vs. 76ers100¢+51.5%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves100¢+36.5%
Lakers vs. Thunder100¢-12.5%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?99¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢+28.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers100¢+23.5%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers100¢-39.5%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?100¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?100¢+37.5%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?100¢+47.5%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?100¢-52.5%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?100¢+55.5%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans100¢-49.5%
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)100¢-59.5%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)100¢+48.5%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)100¢+51.5%
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)100¢-41.4%
Back to Markets
World

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

5.5%
Yes
94.5%
No
$10.6M
Total Volume
$0.19M
24h Volume
$0.25M
Liquidity

Probability Over Time

View Heat Map
10:28 AM12:28 PM02:28 PM04:28 PM06:28 PM08:28 PM10:28 PM12:28 AM02:28 AM04:28 AM06:28 AM08:28 AMNow0%25%50%75%100%

Overview

Click "Generate" to create an AI-powered overview of this market.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Order Book Depth

Estimated from liquidity
PriceSize
4.5¢13,039
3.5¢12,872
2.5¢14,348
1.5¢9,827
1.0¢9,038
1.0¢10,365
1.0¢7,737
1.0¢7,705
PriceSize
6.5¢16,204
7.5¢17,249
8.5¢13,665
9.5¢10,954
10.5¢9,473
11.5¢10,449
12.5¢8,133
13.5¢6,201

Recent Trades

Simulated activity
SidePriceSizeTime
No3.6¢24109:28 AM
Yes6.3¢14109:26 AM
No4.8¢47209:24 AM
Yes6.9¢42209:23 AM
No7.1¢49909:19 AM
No7.3¢39209:25 AM
No7.0¢32309:21 AM
Yes7.4¢11709:13 AM
No4.2¢21709:09 AM
No6.1¢36409:10 AM

Price Alerts

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Market Details

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

StatusActive
End Date5/31/2026
Last Updated5/10/2026, 9:25:57 AM

Market Intelligence

Category

World

Market Sentiment

Strongly bearish

Liquidity Depth

Deep

Discussion

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